SPR

2022 - 10 - 10

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Image courtesy of "OilPrice.com"

The Implications Of U.S. SPR Withdrawals (OilPrice.com)

Consequently, these sanctions, and not unexpectedly, tight oil and gas supply in the international market has raised international energy prices. There are two ...

Thereโ€™s a need to develop a two-pronged long-term strategy to reduce oil import dependency and reduce reliance on the SPR in the future. While higher oil prices at this juncture may bring much needed oil revenues to (national) oil companies and OPEC members, this will come at the cost of accelerating a global recession, bringing more misery to consumers. However, both parts of this strategy take a considerable amount of time to be implemented, and lower crude prices may lead to both slower adoption of EVs and a lower upstream oil and gas capex. Oil prices in the range of $70-$80/bbls at this difficult time could be a win-win situation for both producers and consumers, and shield global economies from collapsing. will not have the luxury of additional SPR releases to keep oil prices in check and to provide relief to domestic consumers. As such, the solution is not forcing the oil companies to curtail product exports or forcing them to stockpile more fuels in U.S. Figure-3 depicts the historical monthly average trends of United States oil consumption, total oil production, shale oil production, and WTI. oil import dependency declined to 42% at the end of July 2022, as compared to 71% in January 2010. Whatever the argument, the message is clear to OPEC and Russia that if they try to manipulate oil production for higher oil prices, the U.S. The question is how long can the U.S. President Biden has decided to open the SPR to mitigate the consequences of the Russia-Ukraine conflict that led the United States and its allies to put harsh economic sanctions on Russia. As a result, the SPR reached the low level of 468 million barrels at the end of July 2022.

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Image courtesy of "Yahoo Finance"

Has OPEC+ Dictated The Outcome Of The U.S. Mid-term Elections? (Yahoo Finance)

High inflation, record-level interest and mortgage rates and now rising gas prices are likely to reverse the gains made by Democrats on the economic front.

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November-delivery SPR sales fetch discounts (Argus Media)

Six companies bought a combined 4.65mn bl of Big Hill Sweet for pipeline delivery between a $3.13/bl discount and parity to the Argus WTI Houston pipeline index ...

Another 500,000 bl sold for delivery onto a vessel at a $2.74/bl discount to the base reference price.

Five companies bought 4.5mn bl of West Hackberry Sweet for pipeline delivery between a $1.59/bl discount to WTI Houston and a $1.77/bl premium, reflecting a volume-weighted average discount of 60ยข/bl. Another 500,000 bl of the grade sold for delivery onto a vessel at a $1.74/bl discount to WTI Houston.

WTI Houston has averaged a $2.46/bl premium to the Nymex light sweet crude futures contract since the 26 September start to the November US trade month. This is up from an average $2.19/bl premium over the same period of October trade as a relatively wide spread between domestic and international benchmarks encourages more exports.

West Hackberry Sweet has a gravity around 36.8ยฐAPI and a 0.34pc sulfur content, reflecting a slightly heavier and more sour quality than WTI.

Roughly 80pc of the volume sold by the Department of Energy (DOE) in its latest emergency drawdown from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) sold at a discount to regional benchmark prices, suggesting the domestic market may already be amply supplied.

Six companies bought a combined 4.65mn bl of Big Hill Sweet for pipeline delivery between a $3.13/bl discount and parity to the Argus WTI Houston pipeline index for a $1.59/bl volume-weighted average discount.

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